U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast
U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast Values
Percent Unemployed, Seasonally Adjusted.
| Month | Date | Forecast Value | Avg Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Nov 2024 | 4.2 | ±0.0 |
| 1 | Dec 2024 | 4.3 | ±0.08 |
| 2 | Jan 2025 | 4.4 | ±0.1 |
| 3 | Feb 2025 | 4.4 | ±0.1 |
| 4 | Mar 2025 | 4.7 | ±0.1 |
| 5 | Apr 2025 | 4.9 | ±0.1 |
| 6 | May 2025 | 5.3 | ±0.2 |
| 7 | Jun 2025 | 5.5 | ±0.2 |
| 8 | Jul 2025 | 5.7 | ±0.2 |
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Chart of U.S. Unemployment Rate
Percent Unemployed yet Actively Seeking Employment, Seasonally Adjusted.
The U.S. Unemployment Rate
The U.S. U-3 unemployment rate is the "official" unemployment rate and is just one of many measures of the employment situation within the United States. This closely followed statistic is released monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The U-3 unemployment rate is the total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. For the U-3 measure, the unemployed are persons who are available to take a job and have actively searched for work in the prior 4 weeks but have not found work. The U-3 unemployment rate typically falls between the narrowest measure of unemployment which is the U-2 rate and the broadest measure of unemployment which is the U-6 rate.
Other Employment Resources:
A long range forecast for the U.S. Unemployment Rate and nonfarm payrolls is available by subscription. Click here for more information or to subscribe.
| December 19, 2024 | |
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 5867.08 |
| U.S. GDP Growth, YoY % | 2.72 |
| U.S. Inflation Rate, % | 2.75 |
| Gold Price, $/oz-t | 2592.45 |
| Crude Oil Futures, $/bbl | 69.38 |
| U.S. 10 Year Treasury, % | 4.57 |